Language:English
Valencia Basket v Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prediction 65.66%1.52fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.75%65.75%65.68%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.421.4871.43%69.90%70.18%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.438%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%34.25%34.32%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.762.9539.22%36.11%36.17%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 65.66%; Žalgiris (Visit): 34.34%. For Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.29%E +0.438%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.29%E +0.438%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:27 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.45%E -0.507%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -2.48%E -0.875%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -5.92%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.04%E -3.83%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.04%E -3.83%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.73%EV -11.07%E -4.27%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.44%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.58% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |