L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Valencia Basket v Žalgiris
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prévision 65.66%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -5.87%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.75%65.75%65.68%67.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.431.421.4871.43%69.90%70.18%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Žalgiris (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.34%2.91cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.663%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.18%34.25%34.32%36.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.762.9539.22%36.11%36.17%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.29%E +0.438%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.29%E +0.438%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:27 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.45%E -0.507%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -2.48%E -0.875%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -5.92%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| William Hill | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.04%E -3.83%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.04%E -3.83%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.73%EV -11.07%E -4.27%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.44%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.58% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |