La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Valencia Basket v Žalgiris
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Valencia Basket (Casa)
Previsione 65.66%1.52quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -5.87%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.75%65.75%65.68%67.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.431.421.4871.43%69.90%70.18%67.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Žalgiris (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.34%2.91quota equa
EV +1.29%
Vantaggio +0.438%
Kelly +0.663%
Crescita +0.009%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.18%34.25%34.32%36.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.772.762.9539.22%36.11%36.17%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.29%E +0.438%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.29%E +0.438%K +0.663%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:27 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.424%E -0.146%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.45%E -0.507%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.14%E -0.751%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -4.13%E -2.83%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -2.48%E -0.875%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.83%E -0.999%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.86%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.54%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 19:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.41%E -5.26%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.57%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.92%EV -5.92%E -2.16%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.10%E -4.27%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -6.26%E -2.29%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| William Hill | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.82%E -1.90%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.76%E -4.76%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.29%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.01%E -3.40%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.69%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.04%E -3.83%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.07%E -5.77%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.04%E -3.83%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.72%E -4.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.27%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.73%EV -11.07%E -4.27%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.79%E -3.30%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.44%E -4.88%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.58% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |