语言:简体中文
Valencia Basket v Real Madrid
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valencia Basket (主队)
预测 50.32%1.99公平赔率
EV +0.642%
优势 +0.321%
Kelly +0.642%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
47.78%50.41%50.39%51.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.882.0055.56%53.07%53.19%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Madrid (客队)
预测 49.68%2.01公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.572%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.99
博彩公司预测分布
48.18%49.59%49.61%52.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.901.911.9954.64%52.51%52.36%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valencia Basket (主队)：50.32%；Real Madrid (客队)：49.68%。 对于“Valencia Basket (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.99。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.00，对应+0.642%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.642%E +0.321%K +0.642%G +0.004% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.87%E -0.961%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.87%E -0.961%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.49%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 17:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.49%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.11%E -3.23%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.11%E -3.23%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.62%E -1.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.62%E -1.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.40%E -3.44%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.64%E -0.826%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.40%E -3.44%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 13:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.42%E -4.62%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.62%E -1.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 10:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |