La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Valencia Basket v Real Madrid
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valencia Basket (Local)
Predicción 50.32%1.99momio equitativo
EV +0.642%
Ventaja +0.321%
Kelly +0.642%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%50.41%50.39%51.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.882.0055.56%53.07%53.19%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Madrid (Visitante)
Predicción 49.68%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.18%49.59%49.61%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.901.911.9954.64%52.51%52.36%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.642%E +0.321%K +0.642%G +0.004% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.87%E -0.961%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.87%E -0.961%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -2.88%E -1.49%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 17:28 |
| DraftKings | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.88%E -1.49%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.11%E -3.23%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.89%E -2.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.11%E -3.23%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.62%E -1.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.62%E -1.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.12%E -2.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.62%E -2.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.40%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.80%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -6.40%E -3.44%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -1.64%E -0.826%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.40%E -3.44%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 13:29 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.61%E -2.95%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.38%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 10:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.60%E -3.51%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 17:19 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -8.42%E -4.62%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -3.62%E -1.87%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.11%E -2.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |