Language:English
Valencia Basket v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prediction 49.62%2.02fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%49.65%50.00%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.882.0455.56%52.63%53.05%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 50.38%1.98fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +3.13%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%50.35%50.00%53.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.882.0556.50%53.02%53.05%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 49.62%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 50.38%. For Panathinaikos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +3.29%E +1.60%K +3.13%G +0.103% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV +1.78%E +0.880%K +1.74%G +0.031% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV +0.770%E +0.385%K +0.770%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV +0.266%E +0.134%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.25%E -1.16%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.27%E -2.25%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.29%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.27%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -3.75%E -1.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -10.82%E -6.11%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |