La scuola delle quote

Valencia Basket v Panathinaikos

Inizio: 2026-04-09 18:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valencia Basket (Casa)

Previsione 49.62%2.02quota equa
EV +1.21%
Vantaggio +0.596%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.60%49.65%50.00%53.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.901.882.0455.56%52.63%53.05%49.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Panathinaikos (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.38%1.98quota equa
EV +3.29%
Vantaggio +1.60%
Kelly +3.13%
Crescita +0.103%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.75%50.35%50.00%53.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.891.882.0556.50%53.02%53.05%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +3.29%E +1.60%K +3.13%G +0.103%4.3%2026-04-09 18:40
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV +1.78%E +0.880%K +1.74%G +0.031%3.9%2026-04-09 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV +0.770%E +0.385%K +0.770%G +0.006%4.3%2026-04-09 18:35
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV +0.266%E +0.134%K +0.268%G +0.001%3.7%2026-04-09 18:40
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:35
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 18:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 18:40
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.25%E -1.16%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 18:35
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:35
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 18:36
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-09 18:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.27%E -2.25%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 18:40
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.29%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.53%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 18:40
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-09 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 18:35
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.27%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 18:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 17:30
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 18:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 17:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 18:35
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 18:35
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 18:35
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-09 18:35
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 17:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 17:30
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 15:20
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 15:20
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -3.75%E -1.93%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -10.82%E -6.11%K -14.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-09 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-09 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51%1.5%2026-04-09 18:40
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%2.6%2026-04-09 18:40
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%4.7%2026-04-09 18:40

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99%11.3%2026-04-09 18:35