La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.04
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +3.29%E +1.60%K +3.13%G +0.103% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV +1.78%E +0.880%K +1.74%G +0.031% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV +0.770%E +0.385%K +0.770%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV +0.266%E +0.134%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.25%E -1.16%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:36 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.27%E -2.25%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.29%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.27%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Betsson | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -3.75%E -1.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -10.82%E -6.11%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |