L’École des cotesFrançais
Valencia Basket v Panathinaikos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prévision 49.62%2.02cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 2.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.60%49.65%50.00%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.882.0455.56%52.63%53.05%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Panathinaikos (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.38%1.98cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +1.60%
Kelly +3.13%
Croissance +0.103%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%50.35%50.00%53.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.891.882.0556.50%53.02%53.05%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +3.29%E +1.60%K +3.13%G +0.103% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV +1.78%E +0.880%K +1.74%G +0.031% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -8.71%E -4.73%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV +0.770%E +0.385%K +0.770%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV +0.266%E +0.134%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -1.75%E -0.897%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-09 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.69%E -5.94%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -2.25%E -1.16%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:36 |
| GTbets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.27%E -2.25%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.23%E -3.29%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.77%E -2.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.28%E -2.81%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.27%E -0.636%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.72%E -3.58%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.21%E -4.44%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.67%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.23%E -2.74%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.22%E -3.86%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.20%E -5.03%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.30%E -4.56%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.770%E -0.385%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.25%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.31%E -5.17%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| Betsson | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV +1.21%E +0.596%K +1.17%G +0.014% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -10.32%E -5.79%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -3.75%E -1.93%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -10.82%E -6.11%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.5% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 2.6% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 18:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.99% | 11.3% | 2026-04-09 18:35 |