Language:English
Valencia Basket v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prediction 72.80%1.37fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.27%72.76%72.92%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.301.301.3578.74%76.79%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit)
Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%27.24%27.08%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.503.6032.26%28.95%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 72.80%; Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visit): 27.20%. For Valencia Basket (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.35, with an expected value of -1.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.71%E -1.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 07:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -2.44%E -1.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -3.17%E -2.38%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.17%E -2.38%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 07:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -8.35%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.27%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -15.15%E -4.86%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.63%E -3.53%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.63%E -3.53%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.45%E -0.973%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 02:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 19:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.54%E -5.94%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.54%E -5.94%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |