L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Valencia Basket v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prévision 72.80%1.37cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -4.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.27%72.76%72.92%73.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.301.301.3578.74%76.79%76.92%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.582%
Kelly -0.805%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.24%27.08%29.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.503.6032.26%28.95%28.57%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.71%E -1.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 07:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -2.44%E -1.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -3.17%E -2.38%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 17:29 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.17%E -2.38%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 07:50 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -8.35%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 07:45 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.27%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -15.15%E -4.86%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.63%E -3.53%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.63%E -3.53%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.45%E -0.973%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 07:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 02:35 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 21:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 19:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.54%E -5.94%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.54%E -5.94%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |