La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Valencia Basket v Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Valencia Basket (Casa)
Previsione 72.80%1.37quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -4.90%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.27%72.76%72.92%73.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.301.301.3578.74%76.79%76.92%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.20%3.68quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.582%
Kelly -0.805%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.08%27.24%27.08%29.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.453.503.6032.26%28.95%28.57%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.71%E -1.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 07:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -2.44%E -1.82%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -3.17%E -2.38%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 17:29 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.17%E -2.38%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.12%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.88%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 07:50 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.86%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -8.35%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 07:45 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.27%EV -3.90%E -2.95%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.73%EV -15.15%E -4.86%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.63%E -3.53%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.99%EV -4.63%E -3.53%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.01%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.45%E -0.973%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 12:35 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 19:39 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 07:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 02:35 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.35%E -4.12%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.69%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.53%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 21:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.08%E -4.72%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 19:13 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 19:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.81%E -5.32%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.54%E -5.94%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.09%E -0.582%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.54%E -5.94%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 18:25 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |