Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valencia Basket v Olympiacos

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valencia Basket (Local)

Prediction 48.35%2.07fair odd
EV +0.084%
Edge +0.040%
Kelly +0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%48.44%48.30%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.952.0754.64%50.67%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olympiacos (Visit)

Prediction 51.65%1.94fair odd
EV -0.315%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.339%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.56%51.70%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.9357.80%55.02%54.95%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia Basket (Local): 48.35%; Olympiacos (Visit): 51.65%. For Valencia Basket (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.068. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.070, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.084%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:59
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 19:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.883%E -0.431%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 19:10
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.883%E -0.431%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -1.37%E -0.670%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 18:59
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -1.37%E -0.670%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 18:59
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:00
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 09:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 18:54
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 19:13
William Hill🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.78%E -1.90%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.78%E -1.90%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 19:13
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.00%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 19:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 11:09
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 19:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 18:55
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 19:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 19:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-24 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 09:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:14
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 12:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 19:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.315%E -0.163%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 19:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 19:14
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 06:24
Everygame🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 19:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-24 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-24 19:25
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-03-24 19:25
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%2.8%2026-03-24 19:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%12.3%2026-03-24 19:10