La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Valencia Basket v Olympiacos
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valencia Basket (Local)
Predicción 48.35%2.07momio equitativo
EV +0.084%
Ventaja +0.040%
Kelly +0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.09%48.44%48.30%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.952.0754.64%50.67%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Olympiacos (Visitante)
Predicción 51.65%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.315%
Ventaja -0.163%
Kelly -0.339%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%51.56%51.70%53.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.821.821.9357.80%55.02%54.95%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.883%E -0.431%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.883%E -0.431%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -1.37%E -0.670%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -1.37%E -0.670%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 19:13 |
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.78%E -1.90%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.78%E -1.90%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 19:13 |
| ReBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.00%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 11:09 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 18:55 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 12:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.315%E -0.163%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 06:24 |
| Everygame | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.84%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 2.8% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |