L’École des cotesFrançais
Valencia Basket v Olympiacos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valencia Basket (Local)
Prévision 48.35%2.07cote équitable
EV +0.084%
Avantage +0.040%
Kelly +0.078%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.07
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.09%48.44%48.30%51.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.952.0754.64%50.67%51.28%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Olympiacos (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.65%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.315%
Avantage -0.163%
Kelly -0.339%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.93%51.56%51.70%53.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.821.9357.80%55.02%54.95%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +0.084%E +0.040%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.883%E -0.431%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.883%E -0.431%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.58%E -4.85%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -1.37%E -0.670%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -9.10%E -5.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -1.37%E -0.670%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.33%E -1.16%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.93%E -2.11%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 18:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.30%E -1.65%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 19:13 |
| William Hill | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.78%E -1.90%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.78%E -1.90%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.27%E -2.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 19:13 |
| ReBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.75%E -2.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.23%E -2.67%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.00%E -3.29%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 11:09 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.45%E -2.40%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 18:55 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 19:05 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -5.72%E -2.93%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -10.64%E -6.15%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.20%E -3.20%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.03%E -3.91%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 09:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.38%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| GTbets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.69%E -3.46%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.96%E -2.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 12:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 19:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.17%E -3.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.55%E -4.22%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-24 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.315%E -0.163%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.65%E -4.01%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.48%E -2.99%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 19:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -8.14%E -4.28%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-24 06:24 |
| Everygame | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.84%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.52%E -6.30%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.35%E -0.706%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 19:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-24 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 2.8% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.42% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.49% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10% | 12.3% | 2026-03-24 19:10 |