Language:English
Saski Baskonia v Valencia Basket
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV +3.58%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%43.03%43.15%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.4050.00%45.21%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valencia Basket (Visit)
Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%56.97%56.85%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.7264.10%61.01%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saski Baskonia (Local): 43.16%; Valencia Basket (Visit): 56.84%. For Saski Baskonia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.58%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.19%E -6.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.19%E -6.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.33%E -7.26%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.03%E -0.892%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.48%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.8% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.82% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.47% | 11.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |