La scuola delle quote

Saski Baskonia v Valencia Basket

Inizio: 2026-02-26 19:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saski Baskonia (Casa)

Previsione 43.16%2.32quota equa
EV +3.58%
Vantaggio +1.49%
Kelly +2.56%
Crescita +0.092%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.55%43.03%43.15%46.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.212.202.4050.00%45.21%45.45%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia Basket (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.84%1.76quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -3.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.91%56.97%56.85%60.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.641.651.7264.10%61.01%60.61%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.19%E -6.45%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.19%E -6.45%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:29
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 19:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.33%E -7.26%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:29
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:30
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.03%E -0.892%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 19:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 19:29
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:29
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 19:29
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 19:30
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 19:30
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:30
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 19:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:29
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 19:29
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 19:29
William Hill2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.48%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 19:30
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 19:29
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 19:29
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 19:29
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 19:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 19:30
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:30
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:29
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:30
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 19:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 19:29
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 19:29
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-26 19:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-26 19:29
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 19:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-02-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-02-26 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-02-26 19:30
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.8%2026-02-26 19:30
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.5%2026-02-26 19:29

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.82%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.47%11.6%2026-02-26 19:30