L’École des cotesFrançais
Saski Baskonia v Valencia Basket
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prévision 43.16%2.32cote équitable
EV +3.58%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.56%
Croissance +0.092%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%43.03%43.15%46.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.202.4050.00%45.21%45.45%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valencia Basket (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.84%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%56.97%56.85%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.651.7264.10%61.01%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.19%E -6.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -10.19%E -6.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +3.58%E +1.49%K +2.56%G +0.092% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.76%E -6.85%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +1.43%E +0.607%K +1.06%G +0.015% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -11.33%E -7.26%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.731%E -0.318%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.03%E -0.892%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.89%E -1.28%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.06%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| William Hill | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.48%E -2.50%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| GTbets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.08%E -3.04%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.65%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.77%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.78%E -4.14%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.49%E -5.27%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.8% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 19:29 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.82% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.47% | 11.6% | 2026-02-26 19:30 |