Language:English
Saski Baskonia v Paris Basketball
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prediction 58.83%1.70fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.90%58.72%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.611.611.6767.11%62.28%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paris Basketball (Visit)
Prediction 41.17%2.43fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.850%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%41.10%41.28%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.262.4048.78%43.98%44.25%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saski Baskonia (Local): 58.83%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 41.17%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.48%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.66%E -4.91%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.72%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.78%E -3.47%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.95%E -3.08%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.01%E -0.846%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -12.34%E -8.28%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46% | 11.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |