La scuola delle quote

Saski Baskonia v Paris Basketball

Inizio: 2026-03-06 19:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Saski Baskonia (Casa)

Previsione 58.83%1.70quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%58.90%58.72%61.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.611.611.6767.11%62.28%62.11%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paris Basketball (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.17%2.43quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.496%
Kelly -0.850%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.93%41.10%41.28%43.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.272.262.4048.78%43.98%44.25%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 19:30
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.48%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:29
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 19:29
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:30
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 19:21
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:30
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 19:30
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 19:29
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 19:29
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:30
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:30
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:30
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.66%E -4.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:29
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.72%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 19:30
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.78%E -3.47%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:30
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.95%E -3.08%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:30
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:30
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.01%E -0.846%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-06 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -12.34%E -8.28%K -25.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-03-06 19:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%11.7%2026-03-06 19:30