L’École des cotesFrançais
Saski Baskonia v Paris Basketball
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Saski Baskonia (Local)
Prévision 58.83%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%58.90%58.72%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.611.611.6767.11%62.28%62.11%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Paris Basketball (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.17%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.496%
Kelly -0.850%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%41.10%41.28%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.272.262.4048.78%43.98%44.25%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -8.19%E -3.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%EV -4.48%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.93%E -1.78%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.48%E -5.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| William Hill | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.66%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -10.25%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.84%E -1.20%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -10.66%E -4.91%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.72%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.87%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.78%E -3.47%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.95%E -3.08%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.23%E -5.27%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.19%E -0.496%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.01%E -0.846%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.31%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -9.99%E -6.53%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -15.60%E -7.61%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -12.34%E -8.28%K -25.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.37%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46% | 11.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |