La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Real Madrid v Valencia Basket
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Real Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 69.32%1.44quota equa
EV +1.20%
Vantaggio +0.822%
Kelly +2.61%
Crescita +0.031%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.53%69.15%69.52%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.381.381.4676.92%72.53%72.46%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Valencia Basket (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.68%3.26quota equa
EV +1.26%
Vantaggio +0.382%
Kelly +0.548%
Crescita +0.007%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.57%30.85%30.48%34.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.033.003.3037.04%33.00%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV +1.20%E +0.822%K +2.61%G +0.031% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -12.24%E -4.28%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -0.186%E -0.129%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -12.55%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -0.186%E -0.129%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -12.85%E -4.53%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.08%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 11:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 11:48 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.80%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 03:59 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -10.40%E -3.56%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.274%E -0.084%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:39 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 13:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -9.17%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 10:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 06:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.89%E -7.61%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |