L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Real Madrid v Valencia Basket
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Madrid (Local)
Prévision 69.32%1.44cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.822%
Kelly +2.61%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 1.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%69.15%69.52%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.381.381.4676.92%72.53%72.46%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valencia Basket (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.68%3.26cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.548%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.57%30.85%30.48%34.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.003.3037.04%33.00%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.20%EV +1.20%E +0.822%K +2.61%G +0.031% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -12.24%E -4.28%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -0.186%E -0.129%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -12.55%E -4.40%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -0.186%E -0.129%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -12.85%E -4.53%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -1.57%E -1.11%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.27%E -1.61%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.95%E -2.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.63%E -4.04%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 13:30 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -14.08%E -5.03%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 11:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -2.96%E -2.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -17.15%E -6.35%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.34%E -1.06%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.65%E -2.63%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 11:48 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.80%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.15%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.01%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 03:59 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -5.04%E -3.68%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -10.40%E -3.56%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.274%E -0.084%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:39 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.73%E -4.21%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 13:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.68%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -9.17%E -3.10%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 10:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.42%E -4.76%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.48%E -3.21%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 06:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.12%E -5.31%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.81%E -5.87%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.88%E -1.57%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.50%E -6.44%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +1.26%E +0.382%K +0.548%G +0.007% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.89%E -7.61%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.81%E -0.565%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-03-12 11:45 |