預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Real Madrid v KK Crvena zvezda

開賽時間: 2026-04-16 18:45 UTC

最終賽果: Real Madrid 103–82 KK Crvena zvezda

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

45 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Real Madrid (主隊)

預測 72.62%1.38公平賠率
EV -1.24%
優勢 -0.910%
Kelly -3.44%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.36

博彩公司預測分布
69.28%72.52%72.61%73.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.281.301.301.3678.13%76.70%76.92%73.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值

KK Crvena zvezda (客隊)

預測 27.38%3.65公平賠率
EV -1.43%
優勢 -0.397%
Kelly -0.550%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.60

博彩公司預測分布
26.23%27.48%27.39%30.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.423.503.6033.33%29.22%28.57%27.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Real Madrid (主隊):72.62%;KK Crvena zvezda (客隊):27.38%。 對於「Real Madrid (主隊)」,該估計相當於1.38的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.36,期望值為-1.24%,未產生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (45 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.24%E -0.910%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 10:50
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 17:45
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.36%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 09:05
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:04
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 17:05
William Hill🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 10:15
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 17:45
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:05
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 10:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 10:15
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 01:24
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 01:24
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.54%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 06:10
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.18%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.82%EV -12.11%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 12:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 10:15
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 10:15
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 17:05
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 17:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-04-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-04-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-04-16 18:35
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-04-16 18:40

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%11.4%2026-04-16 10:50