Lingua:Italiano
Real Madrid v KK Crvena zvezda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Real Madrid (Casa)
Previsione 72.62%1.38quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.910%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%72.52%72.61%73.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.301.301.3678.13%76.70%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
KK Crvena zvezda (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.38%3.65quota equa
EV -1.43%
Vantaggio -0.397%
Kelly -0.550%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.23%27.48%27.39%30.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.423.503.6033.33%29.22%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Real Madrid (Casa): 72.62%; KK Crvena zvezda (Trasferta): 27.38%. Per Real Madrid (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.38. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.36, con un valore atteso del -1.24%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.24%E -0.910%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.36%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 09:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.54%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 06:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.18%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.82%EV -12.11%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |