L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Real Madrid v KK Crvena zvezda
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Madrid (Local)
Prévision 72.62%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.28%72.52%72.61%73.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.301.301.3678.13%76.70%76.92%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
KK Crvena zvezda (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.38%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.397%
Kelly -0.550%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.23%27.48%27.39%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.503.6033.33%29.22%28.57%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.24%E -0.910%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.42%E -2.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.36%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 09:05 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.14%E -3.14%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.38%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:04 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| William Hill | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.87%E -3.72%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 17:45 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 01:24 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 23:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.54%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 06:10 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.18%EV -5.60%E -4.30%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.82%EV -12.11%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 17:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 12:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.32%E -4.90%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.01%E -3.39%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 10:15 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -2.80%E -0.788%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -8.27%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.05%E -5.51%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 17:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.96% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91% | 11.4% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |