Language:English
Panathinaikos v Žalgiris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 73.08%1.37fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%73.06%72.92%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3680.00%77.16%76.92%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Žalgiris (Visit)
Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV +0.949%
Edge +0.253%
Kelly +0.345%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.94%27.08%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.513.503.7531.75%28.47%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 73.08%; Žalgiris (Visit): 26.92%. For Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.949%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.949%E +0.253%K +0.345%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.92%E -6.28%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.949%E +0.253%K +0.345%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV +0.141%E +0.038%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.20%E -0.328%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 04:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.20%E -0.328%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 04:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 06:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.26%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.26%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.65%E -6.92%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.93%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -0.611%E -0.449%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -10.63%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.34%E -0.994%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 09:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 09:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.90% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |