La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v Žalgiris

Inizio: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 73.08%1.37quota equa
EV -0.611%
Vantaggio -0.449%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.79%73.06%72.92%74.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.301.301.3680.00%77.16%76.92%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Žalgiris (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.92%3.71quota equa
EV +0.949%
Vantaggio +0.253%
Kelly +0.345%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.15%26.94%27.08%29.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.513.503.7531.75%28.47%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.949%E +0.253%K +0.345%G +0.003%4.2%2026-03-12 18:03
SportsBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.92%E -6.28%K -30.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.949%E +0.253%K +0.345%G +0.003%6.0%2026-03-12 16:55
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV +0.141%E +0.038%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 18:10
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:55
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 16:54
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 16:55
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.20%E -0.328%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 04:24
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.20%E -0.328%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 04:24
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:55
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:05
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:04
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 13:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:55
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:55
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:55
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 18:45
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 06:09
William Hill1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.26%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:44
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.26%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 10:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 16:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 10:05
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 13:05
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.65%E -6.92%K -34.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 10:40
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:55
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 13:05
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.93%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:49
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 16:55
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:00
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 16:15
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -0.611%E -0.449%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -10.63%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 19:40
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.34%E -0.994%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 16:10
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:55
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 09:59
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 10:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 09:59
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 12:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-12 19:45
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-12 19:45

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.90%11.5%2026-03-12 10:00