L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.36
avec la cote maximale 3.75
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.949%E +0.253%K +0.345%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 18:03 |
| SportsBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -7.92%E -6.28%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +0.949%E +0.253%K +0.345%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV +0.141%E +0.038%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -0.397%E -0.107%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.20%E -0.328%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 04:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -1.20%E -0.328%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 04:24 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.09%E -0.858%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 06:09 |
| William Hill | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.26%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.26%E -3.26%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 10:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.65%E -6.92%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 13:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.53%E -2.68%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.93%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.19%E -5.66%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.47%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -0.611%E -0.449%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -10.63%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.34%E -0.994%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 16:10 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 09:59 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.73%E -4.44%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.46%E -5.04%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 09:59 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -5.00%E -3.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -15.20%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 12:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.90% | 11.5% | 2026-03-12 10:00 |