Language:English
Panathinaikos v Valencia Basket
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 65.84%1.52fair odd
EV +0.073%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.141%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.46%65.90%65.72%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.431.431.5271.94%69.75%69.93%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valencia Basket (Visit)
Prediction 34.16%2.93fair odd
EV -0.929%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.10%34.28%36.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.792.9039.22%35.92%35.84%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 65.84%; Valencia Basket (Visit): 34.16%. For Panathinaikos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.519. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.520, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.073%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -9.81%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.90%E -1.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -7.42%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -12.20%E -4.75%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -8.49%E -6.10%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |