La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v Valencia Basket

Inizio: 2026-05-06 18:15 UTC

Finale: Panathinaikos 87–91 Valencia Basket

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 65.84%1.52quota equa
EV +0.073%
Vantaggio +0.048%
Kelly +0.141%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.46%65.90%65.72%67.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.431.431.5271.94%69.75%69.93%65.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valencia Basket (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.16%2.93quota equa
EV -0.929%
Vantaggio -0.320%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.56%34.10%34.28%36.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.782.792.9039.22%35.92%35.84%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -9.81%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 17:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.90%E -1.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 18:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 18:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -7.42%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 18:05
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:10
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 17:58
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -12.20%E -4.75%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 18:00
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 18:00
Betsson1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:50
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 17:55
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 17:44
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:35
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 17:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 17:40
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 17:25
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:09
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:10
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:10
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 17:50
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 17:05
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 18:10
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 17:50
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 17:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 17:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 17:50
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:10
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 17:35
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 17:40
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 17:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -8.49%E -6.10%K -21.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-06 18:10
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-05-06 18:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%3.7%2026-05-06 18:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%12.0%2026-05-06 17:40