L’École des cotesFrançais
Panathinaikos v Valencia Basket
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prévision 65.84%1.52cote équitable
EV +0.073%
Avantage +0.048%
Kelly +0.141%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.46%65.90%65.72%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.431.431.5271.94%69.75%69.93%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valencia Basket (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.16%2.93cote équitable
EV -0.929%
Avantage -0.320%
Kelly -0.489%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%34.10%34.28%36.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.782.792.9039.22%35.92%35.84%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -9.81%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.90%E -1.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -7.42%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:58 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -12.20%E -4.75%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.88%E -2.66%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 17:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 17:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| William Hill | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 17:25 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.85%E -4.09%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -5.03%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| ReBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.47%E -3.57%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -5.37%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 17:35 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -8.49%E -6.10%K -21.76%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 18:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-05-06 17:40 |