Language:English
Panathinaikos v Paris Basketball
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 77.97%1.28fair odd
EV -0.199%
Edge -0.156%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.75%77.95%77.90%81.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.58%82.64%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paris Basketball (Visit)
Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd
EV +13.68%
Edge +2.65%
Kelly +3.29%
Growth +0.450%
assuming max odds 5.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%22.05%22.10%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.394.334.385.1629.50%23.12%22.86%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 77.97%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 22.03%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.68%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.26%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.74%EV +13.68%E +2.65%K +3.29%G +0.450% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.65%E +0.978%K +1.24%G +0.058% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 17:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034% | 6.0% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 3.7% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.78%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005% | 7.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.862%E -0.191%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.78%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.862%E -0.191%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.17%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-24 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-24 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -8.35%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -8.35%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.32%E -2.68%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -0.199%E -0.156%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.75%EV -0.979%E -0.771%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.25%EV -25.32%E -7.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.31% | 10.9% | 2026-09-24 18:00 |