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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Panathinaikos v Paris Basketball

开赛时间： 2026-09-24 18:15 UTC

最终结果： Panathinaikos 91–72 Paris Basketball

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Panathinaikos (主队)

预测 77.97%1.28公平赔率
EV -0.199%
优势 -0.156%
Kelly -0.712%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
72.75%77.95%77.90%81.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.58%82.64%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

Paris Basketball (客队)

预测 22.03%4.54公平赔率
EV +13.68%
优势 +2.65%
Kelly +3.29%
增长率 +0.450%

假设最高赔率为 5.16

博彩公司预测分布
18.74%22.05%22.10%27.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.394.334.385.1629.50%23.12%22.86%19.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Panathinaikos (主队)：77.97%；Paris Basketball (客队)：22.03%。 对于“Paris Basketball (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.54。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.16，对应+13.68%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.26%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.74%EV +13.68%E +2.65%K +3.29%G +0.450%3.4%2026-09-24 17:34
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%5.6%2026-09-24 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%5.6%2026-09-24 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%5.6%2026-09-24 09:25
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.65%E +0.978%K +1.24%G +0.058%4.4%2026-09-24 17:13
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-24 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034%5.3%2026-09-24 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034%6.0%2026-09-24 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005%3.7%2026-09-24 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005%4.4%2026-09-24 14:55
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.78%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005%7.2%2026-09-24 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.862%E -0.191%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.78%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.862%E -0.191%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-24 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:09
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.17%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-24 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-24 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-24 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -8.35%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -8.35%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 16:05
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.32%E -2.68%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -0.199%E -0.156%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 18:10
TAB🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:00
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:00
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:00
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.75%EV -0.979%E -0.771%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.25%EV -25.32%E -7.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 18:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-09-24 18:10
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-09-24 18:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.31%10.9%2026-09-24 18:00