預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Panathinaikos v Paris Basketball

開賽時間： 2026-09-24 18:15 UTC

最終賽果： Panathinaikos 91–72 Paris Basketball

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

42 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

78%

22%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Panathinaikos (主隊)

預測 77.97%1.28公平賠率

EV -0.199%

優勢 -0.156%

Kelly -0.712%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.28

博彩公司預測分布

72.75%77.95%77.90%81.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.58%82.64%78.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Paris Basketball (客隊)

預測 22.03%4.54公平賠率

EV +13.68%

優勢 +2.65%

Kelly +3.29%

成長率 +0.450%

假設最高賠率為 5.16

博彩公司預測分布

18.74%22.05%22.10%27.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.394.334.385.1629.50%23.12%22.86%19.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Panathinaikos (主隊)：77.97%；Paris Basketball (客隊)：22.03%。對於「Paris Basketball (客隊)」，該估計相當於4.54的公平十進位賠率。當時有11家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為5.16，對應+13.68%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (42 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
1xBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.26%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%	5.16I 19.38%NM 18.74%EV +13.68%E +2.65%K +3.29%G +0.450%	3.4%	2026-09-24 17:34
888sport🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%	5.6%	2026-09-24 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%	5.6%	2026-09-24 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +5.75%E +1.20%K +1.51%G +0.087%	5.6%	2026-09-24 09:25
Bovada🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.65%E +0.978%K +1.24%G +0.058%	4.4%	2026-09-24 17:13
Betsson🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034%	5.3%	2026-09-24 14:00
NordicBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034%	5.3%	2026-09-24 14:00
SportsBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +3.54%E +0.754%K +0.958%G +0.034%	6.0%	2026-09-24 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005%	3.7%	2026-09-24 18:05
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005%	4.4%	2026-09-24 14:55
GTbets🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.78%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +1.34%E +0.292%K +0.373%G +0.005%	7.2%	2026-09-24 18:10
FanDuel🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.00%E -6.78%K -44.42%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.862%E -0.191%K -0.246%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-24 15:30
Paddy Power🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.78%E -7.50%K -51.62%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.862%E -0.191%K -0.246%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-24 15:30
BetRivers🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:09
Unibet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.66%E -4.68%K -26.94%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-24 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.06%E -0.697%K -0.901%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-24 18:10
TABtouch🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -4.17%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-24 18:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-24 15:30
Coolbet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-24 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-24 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.27%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-24 18:10
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.37%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-24 18:10
Fanatics🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.44%E -5.36%K -32.18%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.47%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-24 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%	4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -8.35%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-24 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%	4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -8.35%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-24 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-24 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.54%E -2.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-24 16:05
BetMGM🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.32%E -2.68%K -13.83%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-24 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.22%E -6.06%K -37.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -9.67%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-09-24 18:05
PlayUp🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.88%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-24 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.82%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -12.98%E -3.29%K -4.40%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-24 18:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -0.199%E -0.156%K -0.712%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-24 18:10
TAB🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -4.10%E -3.33%K -17.82%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -14.08%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-24 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-24 18:00
Neds🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-24 18:00
Coral🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.88%E -4.00%K -22.17%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.28%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-24 18:00
BetUS🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.75%EV -0.979%E -0.771%K -3.63%G +0.000%	3.39I 29.50%NM 27.25%EV -25.32%E -7.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-24 18:10

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%	4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%	0.3%	2026-09-24 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%	4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%	0.3%	2026-09-24 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%	4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%	0.3%	2026-09-24 18:10
Smarkets◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%	1.6%	2026-09-24 18:10
Matchbook◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%	4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%	2.1%	2026-09-24 18:10

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司	選項 1	選項 2	選項 3	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.15%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.31%	10.9%	2026-09-24 18:00