Language:English
Panathinaikos v Paris Basketball
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 80.40%1.24fair odd
EV -0.300%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.40%80.13%80.57%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.191.2488.50%84.53%84.39%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paris Basketball (Visit)
Prediction 19.60%5.10fair odd
EV +7.78%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.135%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.87%19.43%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.704.705.5026.32%21.28%21.28%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 80.40%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 19.60%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.78%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +5.82%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +1.90%E +0.366%K +0.453%G +0.009% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.923%E +0.179%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.923%E +0.179%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -0.057%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.14%E -8.09%K -70.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.98%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -8.88%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -9.27%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.71%E -2.24%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.20%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.80%EV -11.23%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.77%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -1.10%E -0.897%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -15.15%E -3.50%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.71%E -2.24%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -15.73%E -3.66%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.69%E -4.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -21.61%E -5.40%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.300%E -0.242%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |