La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Panathinaikos v Paris Basketball
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panathinaikos (Local)
Predicción 80.40%1.24momio equitativo
EV -0.300%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.40%80.13%80.57%82.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.181.191.2488.50%84.53%84.39%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Paris Basketball (Visitante)
Predicción 19.60%5.10momio equitativo
EV +7.78%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Crecimiento +0.135%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.17%19.87%19.43%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.704.705.5026.32%21.28%21.28%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +5.82%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +1.90%E +0.366%K +0.453%G +0.009% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.923%E +0.179%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.923%E +0.179%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -0.057%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.14%E -8.09%K -70.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.98%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -8.88%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -9.27%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.71%E -2.24%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.20%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.80%EV -11.23%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.77%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -1.10%E -0.897%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -15.15%E -3.50%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.71%E -2.24%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -15.73%E -3.66%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.69%E -4.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -21.61%E -5.40%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.300%E -0.242%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |