L’École des cotesFrançais
Panathinaikos v Paris Basketball
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prévision 80.40%1.24cote équitable
EV -0.300%
Avantage -0.242%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.40%80.13%80.57%82.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.181.191.2488.50%84.53%84.39%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Paris Basketball (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.60%5.10cote équitable
EV +7.78%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.135%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%19.87%19.43%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.704.705.5026.32%21.28%21.28%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +7.78%E +1.41%K +1.73%G +0.135% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +5.82%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +1.90%E +0.366%K +0.453%G +0.009% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.923%E +0.179%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +0.923%E +0.179%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -0.057%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.34%E -7.32%K -59.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.14%E -8.09%K -70.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -2.02%E -0.403%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -3.98%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.12%E -4.34%K -28.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 19:43 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -6.73%E -5.80%K -42.08%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -8.88%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -9.27%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.71%E -2.24%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.54%E -6.55%K -50.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.20%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 20.80%EV -11.23%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.93%E -5.07%K -34.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.32%E -3.63%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -13.77%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -1.10%E -0.897%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -15.15%E -3.50%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.71%E -2.24%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -15.73%E -3.66%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.69%E -4.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -3.52%E -2.93%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -21.61%E -5.40%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -0.300%E -0.242%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.91%E -1.56%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -25.53%E -6.72%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40% | 2.6% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97% | 11.7% | 2026-02-26 19:44 |