Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 19:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)

Prediction 50.22%1.99fair odd
EV -0.559%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.70%50.37%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9855.56%53.40%53.48%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)

Prediction 49.78%2.01fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.63%50.00%51.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9754.64%52.64%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 50.22%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 49.78%. For Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -0.559%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -0.559%E -0.283%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 19:29
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:28
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:27
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.92%E -3.13%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.94%E -0.984%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:29
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:29
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.59%E -4.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:29
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-03-05 19:29
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-03-05 19:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%12.4%2026-03-05 19:29