La scuola delle quote

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Inizio: 2026-03-05 19:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Casa)

Previsione 50.22%1.99quota equa
EV -0.559%
Vantaggio -0.283%
Kelly -0.571%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.70%50.37%50.00%51.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.871.9855.56%53.40%53.48%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.78%2.01quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.984%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.41%49.63%50.00%51.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.901.911.9754.64%52.64%52.36%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -0.559%E -0.283%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 19:20
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 19:29
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:28
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:27
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 19:30
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.92%E -3.13%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.94%E -0.984%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 19:29
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:29
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:29
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 19:29
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.59%E -4.13%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 19:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 19:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-03-05 19:29
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-03-05 19:30

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%12.4%2026-03-05 19:29