L’École des cotesFrançais
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)
Prévision 50.22%1.99cote équitable
EV -0.559%
Avantage -0.283%
Kelly -0.571%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.70%50.37%50.00%51.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.871.9855.56%53.40%53.48%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visiteur)
Prévision 49.78%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.41%49.63%50.00%51.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.911.9754.64%52.64%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -0.559%E -0.283%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 19:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:28 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:27 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.08%E -2.69%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.58%E -2.97%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.92%E -3.13%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -1.94%E -0.984%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| TAB | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.43%E -2.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| GTbets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.42%E -2.85%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -6.59%E -3.54%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.59%E -4.13%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.42%E -3.41%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.93%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.60%E -5.33%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.5% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90% | 12.4% | 2026-03-05 19:29 |