Language:English
Olympiacos v Real Madrid
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiacos (Local)
Prediction 71.89%1.39fair odd
EV -0.798%
Edge -0.578%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.35%71.83%71.58%76.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3879.37%76.68%76.92%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Madrid (Visit)
Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV +12.46%
Edge +3.11%
Kelly +4.15%
Growth +0.517%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%28.17%28.42%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.983.433.444.0033.56%29.17%29.11%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiacos (Local): 71.89%; Real Madrid (Visit): 28.11%. For Real Madrid (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.46%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -9.42%E -7.48%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +12.46%E +3.11%K +4.15%G +0.517% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV +7.68%E +2.00%K +2.71%G +0.208% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.02%E +1.09%K +1.49%G +0.060% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.02%E +1.09%K +1.49%G +0.060% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.21%E +0.337%K +0.466%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.04%E -0.295%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.04%E -0.295%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -1.88%E -0.539%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.01%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 17:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.24%E -1.64%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.67%E -2.74%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -0.798%E -0.578%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -16.22%E -5.44%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |