L’École des cotesFrançais
Olympiacos v Real Madrid
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Olympiacos (Local)
Prévision 71.89%1.39cote équitable
EV -0.798%
Avantage -0.578%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.35%71.83%71.58%76.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.301.301.3879.37%76.68%76.92%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.11%3.56cote équitable
EV +12.46%
Avantage +3.11%
Kelly +4.15%
Croissance +0.517%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%28.17%28.42%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.983.433.444.0033.56%29.17%29.11%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -9.42%E -7.48%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +12.46%E +3.11%K +4.15%G +0.517% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV +7.68%E +2.00%K +2.71%G +0.208% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.02%E +1.09%K +1.49%G +0.060% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.02%E +1.09%K +1.49%G +0.060% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.21%E +0.337%K +0.466%G +0.006% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.04%E -0.295%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.04%E -0.295%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -1.88%E -0.539%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.01%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 17:58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.24%E -1.64%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Neds | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.67%E -2.74%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -0.798%E -0.578%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -16.22%E -5.44%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.10% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 18:00 |