La scuola delle quote

Olympiacos v Real Madrid

Inizio: 2026-05-24 18:05 UTC

Finale: Olympiacos 92–85 Real Madrid

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Olympiacos (Casa)

Previsione 71.89%1.39quota equa
EV -0.798%
Vantaggio -0.578%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.35%71.83%71.58%76.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.301.301.3879.37%76.68%76.92%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.11%3.56quota equa
EV +12.46%
Vantaggio +3.11%
Kelly +4.15%
Crescita +0.517%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.95%28.17%28.42%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.983.433.444.0033.56%29.17%29.11%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -9.42%E -7.48%K -36.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +12.46%E +3.11%K +4.15%G +0.517%4.4%2026-05-24 18:00
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV +7.68%E +2.00%K +2.71%G +0.208%3.6%2026-05-24 17:59
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.02%E +1.09%K +1.49%G +0.060%5.2%2026-05-24 17:59
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.02%E +1.09%K +1.49%G +0.060%5.2%2026-05-24 17:59
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.21%E +0.337%K +0.466%G +0.006%5.3%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.194%E -0.055%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.04%E -0.295%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:00
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -1.04%E -0.295%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 18:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:00
ReBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.60%E -0.457%K -0.640%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -1.88%E -0.539%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 17:59
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -3.01%E -0.871%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 17:59
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 17:59
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:00
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -8.71%E -6.85%K -32.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -5.82%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 17:59
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 18:00
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 72.02%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.98%EV -6.66%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 17:58
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.24%E -1.64%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:00
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:00
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 17:59
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.83%E -4.45%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 18:00
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 17:59
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.27%E -5.63%K -25.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 17:59
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.99%E -6.24%K -28.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 18:00
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.87%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.63%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.39%E -3.30%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 17:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.55%E -5.04%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.03%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 18:00
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.67%E -2.74%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.85%E -4.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -0.798%E -0.578%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -16.22%E -5.44%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-24 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-05-24 18:00
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-05-24 18:00
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%3.7%2026-05-24 18:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%12.1%2026-05-24 18:00