La scuola delle quote

Olympiacos v Real Madrid

Inizio: 2026-04-07 18:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Olympiacos (Casa)

Previsione 65.39%1.53quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -5.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.29%65.42%65.45%66.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.30%69.44%67.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.61%2.89quota equa
EV -0.331%
Vantaggio -0.115%
Kelly -0.176%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.26%34.58%34.55%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.56%36.36%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 13:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 16:04
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 16:04
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -6.21%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 18:00
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 17:24
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 17:38
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 17:25
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 17:24
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -0.331%E -0.115%K -0.176%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 09:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.02%E -0.358%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 17:40
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 17:39
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 13:19
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 13:00
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:14
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 13:00
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 13:50
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -9.67%E -3.71%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 17:30
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.41%E -0.854%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 17:39
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 17:39
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 17:39
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 17:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 12:59
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 14:10
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 17:40
GTbets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -6.21%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 14:20
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 13:00
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 17:30
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 13:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-07 17:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 12:59
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-07 13:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 17:25
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 17:25
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 17:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:15
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:19
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 21:38
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-07 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-04-07 18:10
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-04-07 18:10
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-04-07 18:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93%11.0%2026-04-06 19:40