L’École des cotesFrançais
Olympiacos v Real Madrid
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Olympiacos (Local)
Prévision 65.39%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.49
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.29%65.42%65.45%66.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.30%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.331%
Avantage -0.115%
Kelly -0.176%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.26%34.58%34.55%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.56%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.56%E -1.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 16:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -6.21%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 18:00 |
| William Hill | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.22%E -2.17%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| Bovada | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 17:38 |
| 888sport | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.87%E -2.63%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -0.331%E -0.115%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 09:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.02%E -0.358%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 13:19 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 13:50 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -9.67%E -3.71%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.41%E -0.854%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 12:59 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 17:40 |
| GTbets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -6.21%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 14:20 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.83%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.37%E -0.480%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 17:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.26%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.42%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:19 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 21:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.89% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.93% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 19:40 |