Language:English
Olympiacos v Panathinaikos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiacos (Local)
Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV +0.929%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.726%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.98%44.41%44.08%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.152.152.2851.28%46.41%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Panathinaikos (Visit)
Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.99%55.59%55.92%58.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.7661.35%59.29%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiacos (Local): 44.27%; Panathinaikos (Visit): 55.73%. For Olympiacos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.929%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.60%E -5.24%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.60%E -5.24%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.28%E -0.576%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.28%E -0.576%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.17%E -0.982%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.50%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.47%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 19:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.47%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.48%E -3.58%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -8.37%E -4.04%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -10.14%E -4.99%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.47%E -5.73%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.68%E -7.01%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06% | 12.7% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |