默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olympiacos v Panathinaikos

开赛时间： 2026-03-06 19:20 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Olympiacos (主队)

预测 44.27%2.26公平赔率

EV +0.929%

优势 +0.407%

Kelly +0.726%

增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布

41.98%44.41%44.08%47.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.152.152.2851.28%46.41%46.51%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Panathinaikos (客队)

预测 55.73%1.79公平赔率

EV -1.91%

优势 -1.09%

Kelly -2.51%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

52.99%55.59%55.92%58.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.631.691.691.7661.35%59.29%59.17%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Olympiacos (主队)：44.27%；Panathinaikos (客队)：55.73%。对于“Olympiacos (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.28，对应+0.929%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-06 19:14
BetRivers🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.60%E -5.24%K -13.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-06 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.60%E -5.24%K -13.43%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-06 19:15
Pinnacle🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.28%E -0.576%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-06 19:14
TABtouch🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.28%E -0.576%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.53%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-06 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.17%E -0.982%K -1.79%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-06 19:14
LowVig.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-06 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-06 19:15
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-06 19:15
Everygame🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-06 19:14
William Hill🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-06 19:15
FanDuel🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.50%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 19:15
1xBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.47%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-06 19:06
888sport🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 19:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 19:01
888sport (SE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 19:01
NordicBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-06 19:15
Betsson🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-06 19:14
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-06 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-06 19:14
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.47%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-06 19:15
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-06 19:15
SportsBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-06 19:15
PlayUp🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-06 19:15
Paddy Power🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-06 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-06 19:15
GTbets🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.48%E -3.58%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-06 19:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -8.37%E -4.04%K -7.82%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-06 19:15
DraftKings🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-06 19:15
Fanatics🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-06 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.53%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-03-06 19:14
Coolbet🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -10.14%E -4.99%K -9.84%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-06 19:15
BetMGM🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.47%E -5.73%K -11.47%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-06 19:14
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.68%E -7.01%K -14.40%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.91%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-06 19:15

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%	0.7%	2026-03-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%	0.7%	2026-03-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%	0.7%	2026-03-06 19:15
Matchbook◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%	3.2%	2026-03-06 19:15
Smarkets◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%	9.1%	2026-03-06 19:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%	1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%	12.7%	2026-03-06 19:14