L’École des cotesFrançais
Olympiacos v Panathinaikos
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Olympiacos (Local)
Prévision 44.27%2.26cote équitable
EV +0.929%
Avantage +0.407%
Kelly +0.726%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 2.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%44.41%44.08%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.152.152.2851.28%46.41%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Panathinaikos (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.73%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.99%55.59%55.92%58.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.691.691.7661.35%59.29%59.17%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +0.929%E +0.407%K +0.726%G +0.007% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.60%E -5.24%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -0.399%E -0.177%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.60%E -5.24%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.28%E -0.576%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -1.28%E -0.576%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.17%E -0.982%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.61%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| William Hill | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.06%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.50%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.81%E -3.44%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.47%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 19:06 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:01 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.24%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.47%E -1.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.25%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.04%E -3.35%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.04%E -4.87%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| GTbets | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -7.48%E -3.58%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -8.37%E -4.04%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.37%E -3.79%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.16%E -5.62%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -10.14%E -4.99%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.47%E -5.73%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.02%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -13.68%E -7.01%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -3.58%E -2.07%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06% | 12.7% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |