Language:English
Olympiacos v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Olympiacos (Local)
Prediction 66.36%1.51fair odd
EV +0.203%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.398%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.52%66.35%66.36%67.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.5173.53%69.85%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 33.64%2.97fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.08%33.65%33.64%36.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.802.9539.22%35.99%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Olympiacos (Local): 66.36%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 33.64%. For Olympiacos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.507. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.510, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.203%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV +0.203%E +0.134%K +0.398%G +0.001% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -10.18%E -3.81%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.48%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -13.88%E -5.42%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.48%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.85%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.44%E -0.842%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.10%E -0.373%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.760%E -0.258%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.760%E -0.258%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.44%E -0.842%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.22% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89% | 11.6% | 2026-05-22 15:00 |