La scuola delle quote

Olympiacos v Fenerbahce SK

Inizio: 2026-05-22 15:05 UTC

Finale: Olympiacos 79–61 Fenerbahce SK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Olympiacos (Casa)

Previsione 66.36%1.51quota equa
EV +0.203%
Vantaggio +0.134%
Kelly +0.398%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.52%66.35%66.36%67.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.431.431.5173.53%69.85%69.93%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fenerbahce SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.64%2.97quota equa
EV -0.760%
Vantaggio -0.258%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.08%33.65%33.64%36.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.782.802.9539.22%35.99%35.71%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV +0.203%E +0.134%K +0.398%G +0.001%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -10.18%E -3.81%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 14:59
William Hill1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.79%E -1.21%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 15:00
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -6.48%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 14:59
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 14:59
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 14:59
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 14:59
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -2.45%E -1.67%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -13.88%E -5.42%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 14:59
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 15:00
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 15:00
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.48%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:59
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.85%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 14:59
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -3.78%E -2.61%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:00
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:00
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:00
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.44%E -3.08%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.44%E -0.842%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 14:59
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:59
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.79%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 15:00
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.11%E -3.57%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:00
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:00
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.49%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 14:59
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.77%E -4.06%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 15:00
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.10%E -0.373%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.43%E -4.56%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 15:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.760%E -0.258%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:59
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.760%E -0.258%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.44%E -0.842%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 15:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 15:00
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 15:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.81%E -2.07%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 14:59
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82%EV -7.82%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 14:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 14:59
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.10%E -5.07%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.17%E -3.40%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 14:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.75%E -7.17%K -27.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-05-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-22 15:00
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-22 15:00
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-05-22 15:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.22%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.89%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.89%11.6%2026-05-22 15:00